Machinery industry and the future of packaging machinery industry
In the first half, China's machinery industry production in despite wind and rain gradually bottom out. In the second half, the machinery industry will face what the change in the situation? China Machinery Industry Federation, Cai Wei, executive vice president of Chi that is running the second half of the machinery industry, though still facing economic difficulties, but the overall operating environment better than the first half. Second half of the machinery and packaging machinery industry development of industrial four favorable factors exist.
First National has clearly will continue to implement the proactive fiscal policy and loose monetary policy, macroeconomic situation is expected to further pick up. In this background, the demand for trades of mechanical products is expected to continue to grow. From the first half of the data, machinery industry has steadily picking up. June, machinery industry total output value of the month than 1 trillion yuan, a record, indicating that the production situation in accelerating the improvement. Stimulating investment in infrastructure, engineering machinery, ushered in a better market opportunities.
Second, oil, steel and other energy, raw materials more lenient in favor of the machinery industry to improve cost control and efficiency. To steel, for example, 6 the end of the preparation of China Iron and Steel Industry Association, the domestic composite steel price index 101.98 points, down 59.49 points, down 36.84%.
Third, countries on the restructuring and revitalization of the equipment manufacturing industry and the automotive industry policy (such as encouraging independent innovation, to encourage car to speed up update and improve the export tax rebate rate of some machinery products, value-added tax, etc.) is continuing to implement, will speed up the machinery industry pace of development.
From the national policy of expanding domestic demand, the benefit most, the effect is most obvious is the agricultural and automotive industries. First half of the urgent need for large-scale agricultural production, medium-sized tractors and combines production, year on year growth of 32.02%, 27.82% and 43.14%. Auto sales were 5.99 million in the first half and 6.1 million, respectively, up 15.22% and 17.69%; China Automotive Industry Association expects the policy to promote the good, the car sales this year, up to 11 million.
Fourth, especially in the second half of the fourth quarter of last year's machinery industry growth rate plunged, reducing the base of comparison in the second half of this year, and thus more conducive to the growth rate increase later this year.
Cai Wei-Tze forecasts, machine industry in the second half is expected to continue upward trend in the second quarter and gradually speed up the recovery rate, the fourth quarter is expected to reach double-digit rapid re-growth; machinery industry total output value of the full year 2009 increased by 12% than the previous year about profits than about 8% over the previous year, export volume is expected to drop about 10% than the previous year. However, confidence in maintaining appropriate the same time, the difficulties we must not be taken lightly.
Cai Wei-Tze that to machinery industry, the current main problem is lack of external demand. Statistics show that exports for the first half of the machinery industry 89.146 billion U.S. dollars of foreign trade, down 24.11%; after 1 to 3 months, 1 to 4 months, 1 May fell 21.04%, 22.22% and 23.9%, showing that decline is still expanded. Export delivery value of industrial sales output value in the proportion of machinery, in previous years under normal conditions about 16%, 1 to 6 months of this year has dropped to 10.58%.
The current external demand have yet to see significant improvement in the future. According to World Bank research and analysis, the prospects for global economic recovery is also difficult to predict, the machinery industry exports is difficult to significantly improve short-term market. In the international market shrinking, the share of exports to expand, companies need to improve their skills.
The good news is, in the machinery industry, China has entered the international advanced level in some sectors, exports of these industries less affected; for example, power equipment manufacturing strength of China's machinery industry, the export of power generation equipment in the first half of this year 9 million kilowatts, up still achieve positive growth.
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